Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1085.325879 1242.912515 1422.871275 1645.213511 1914.786904 2233.945864 2.644766e+03
2025-01-05 828.266184 1019.160036 1259.137285 1588.912780 2039.983196 2650.372563 3.566273e+03
2025-01-12 692.419489 890.065686 1153.792481 1541.959902 2117.846266 2974.441267 4.416730e+03
2025-01-19 596.767243 792.392409 1065.389144 1489.090024 2159.748037 3238.440849 5.245378e+03
2025-01-26 557.113473 763.495954 1064.522516 1557.433431 2391.898443 3851.670197 6.890401e+03
2025-02-02 518.084129 728.872936 1047.939064 1594.934210 2577.411133 4432.676081 8.731567e+03
2025-02-09 482.611556 694.434258 1025.539131 1616.673070 2736.812856 5008.428690 1.085256e+04
2025-02-16 446.487615 654.501317 988.459259 1605.481486 2829.944926 5475.378490 1.297374e+04
2025-02-23 425.886025 636.763120 985.158983 1653.340642 3049.157642 6291.020782 1.660867e+04
2025-03-02 407.990449 621.330183 983.394791 1702.934935 3283.005546 7228.848160 2.141873e+04
2025-03-09 386.774174 598.103272 964.922440 1716.284045 3439.186878 8029.025735 2.653635e+04
2025-03-16 363.962924 570.023681 934.486215 1700.337217 3522.981917 8663.108412 3.169833e+04
2025-03-23 348.523061 554.430233 927.184928 1735.910346 3753.923807 9885.406419 4.167314e+04
2025-03-30 322.930745 518.781028 878.573625 1675.286198 3725.392471 10271.420444 4.786062e+04
2025-04-06 301.248060 488.479887 837.292844 1625.029713 3713.697326 10720.452292 5.546281e+04
2025-04-13 281.038587 459.393406 795.729840 1568.455492 3672.330338 11051.365976 6.312189e+04
2025-04-20 275.823938 457.708310 808.622719 1641.593530 4028.499168 13173.051839 9.288535e+04
2025-04-27 267.693113 449.800424 807.908326 1681.753130 4298.726263 15147.003707 1.312867e+05
2025-05-04 258.641605 439.394770 800.885365 1705.042204 4523.725528 17105.969751 1.832969e+05
2025-05-11 247.349690 423.796616 781.325845 1693.051728 4627.567332 18544.253312 2.399514e+05
2025-05-18 241.865077 419.273686 785.319448 1744.339198 4974.168518 21709.506926 3.810274e+05
2025-05-25 236.760468 415.111535 789.664284 1797.518681 5350.151462 25541.080425 6.443667e+05
2025-06-01 229.218153 405.446684 780.681308 1811.838382 5581.910042 28717.148387 1.022493e+06